US commercial vehicle fleet registrations roaring back from pandemic lows

Fueled by the surging lease/rental industry, commercial
vehicle fleets (classes 1-8) in the US market have seen a 22%
year-over-year spike for the January-June period.

Although US registrations are still 10% below pre-pandemic
levels (compared to H1 2019), fleets are showing strength once
again.

Among the trends in the fleet industry:

  • The lease/rental industry is the fastest-growing vocation in
    2023 after being the toughest hit by the pandemic. Fleets like
    Penske, U-Haul, and Enterprise saw 40-60% decreases in new
    registrations during the pandemic, but are having their largest
    year since 2019.
  • Last-mile delivery was one of the only vocations to see new registration
    increases during the pandemic and continues to shine with companies
    like Amazon tripling
    new registrations from 2019.
  • Class 5 showed the only decrease in registrations. Cab-chassis
    and incomplete pickups had the most inventory during the pandemic –
    resulting in a flattening of the curve in 2023.

As for electrified commercial vehicles, “last mile” delivery
vehicles have shown to be a lively sector, with more than 10,000
electric cargo vans and pickups registered in the first half of
2023. Among the other EV trends:

  • New EV offerings from Ford, BrightDrop, and Rivian are
    propelling a 304% increase in Class 2 EV registrations. Fleets such
    as Amazon, Walmart, Penske, and FedEx are leading the charge in EV
    adoption.
  • Upcoming EV pickup launches from Chevrolet and Ram should
    continue to help this EV sales boom.
  • By contrast, retail EV purchases have increased “only” 60%
    during the same period – showing how much faster electrification is
    being adopted by the commercial industry. Some context, however: While
    new commercial EV registration increases show lofty percentages,
    those registrations are still only 1% of total commercial fleet
    registrations.


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