{"id":126728,"date":"2024-05-28T07:53:58","date_gmt":"2024-05-28T06:53:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/mobility\/en\/research-analysis\/automotive-semiconductor-industry-positive-outlook.html"},"modified":"2024-05-28T07:53:58","modified_gmt":"2024-05-28T06:53:58","slug":"automotive-semiconductor-industry-sees-long-term-positive-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gamefootballmobileanimeiphone.com\/index.php\/2024\/05\/28\/automotive-semiconductor-industry-sees-long-term-positive-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"Automotive semiconductor industry sees long-term positive outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"<p >Over the past few years, the automotive semiconductor industry<br \/>\nhas navigated a dynamic landscape shaped by a myriad of factors.<br \/>\nFrom pandemic-induced semiconductor shortages to regulatory export<br \/>\ncontrols and ambitious global investment plans, these elements have<br \/>\nprofoundly influenced industry dynamics.<\/p>\n<p >Amidst this backdrop, the industry has demonstrated resilience<br \/>\nand adaptability in response to evolving market conditions and<br \/>\ntechnological advancements.<\/p>\n<h2 >2023: Market followed the historic growth path<\/h2>\n<p >The automotive semiconductor market experienced a more-than 25%<br \/>\nincrease in revenue in both 2021 and 2022, demonstrating<br \/>\nsignificant momentum. Subsequently, in 2023, the market continued<br \/>\nits upward trajectory with an increase of 18.1%, reflecting a<br \/>\nstrong yet relatively slower pace compared to the gains recorded in<br \/>\nthe previous two years. Electrification, digitization, increased<br \/>\nadoption of connectivity features, and automated driving all<br \/>\ncontributed to this heightened demand for semiconductor chips in<br \/>\nthe automotive sector.<\/p>\n<p >The chip shortage paradoxically also contributed to inflating<br \/>\nthe automotive semiconductor sales in 2021 and 2022 because of<br \/>\npanic buying. This resulted in high inventory level in the channels<br \/>\nwhich have been a subject of concern for the past 18 months, with<br \/>\nan anticipated inventory correction expected to eventually take<br \/>\nplace. In 2023, there were indications of this impending inventory<br \/>\ncorrection within the automotive semiconductor market, particularly<br \/>\nevident in regions such as Europe. This correction aimed to realign<br \/>\nsurplus inventory levels with actual market demand. From the market<br \/>\nshare data it is evident that the impact of the inventory<br \/>\ncorrection was greater than anticipated in 2023 already.<\/p>\n<p >In the mainland Chinese automotive sector, the shift towards<br \/>\nelectrification remains a driving force. Within this landscape, the<br \/>\npower-discrete segment has notably gained prominence. A key<br \/>\ndevelopment is the rise of captive production, with OEMs like BYD<br \/>\ndesigning their own semiconductors, thereby bypassing traditional<br \/>\nsuppliers such as Infineon. The trend towards self-sufficiency,<br \/>\nirrespective of whether an OEM utilizes its own fabrication<br \/>\nfacilities or partners with foundries, represents a significant<br \/>\nshift in the market dynamics, challenging the established<br \/>\nsemiconductor supply chain. This evolution underscores the<br \/>\nimportance of OEMs in the semiconductor value chain and the<br \/>\npotential impact on merchant suppliers.<\/p>\n<h2 >2024: Potential reset year<\/h2>\n<p >Despite apprehensions surrounding a potential market downturn,<br \/>\nthe automotive semiconductor industry is poised to experience what<br \/>\nanalysts refer to as a &#8220;soft landing&#8221; this year. A &#8220;soft landing&#8221;<br \/>\ndescribes a scenario where market adjustments occur gradually,<br \/>\npreventing a sudden and severe contraction. Since inventory is not<br \/>\nconcentrated in 2024 -but started in 2023 already \u2014 the<br \/>\ncorrection is not as brutal and the market is expected to retain a<br \/>\npositive momentum reflecting a resilient response to the preceding<br \/>\ninventory correction.<\/p>\n<p >In 2024 the automotive semiconductor industry is projected to<br \/>\nhave the lowest forecast in the past four years, at less than 4%.<br \/>\nNext to the inventory burning, several additional factors<br \/>\ncontribute to this modest market expansion, including:<\/p>\n<ul >\n<li>A change in the distribution of vehicle propulsion, with a<br \/>\nreduction in the uptick of battery-electric vehicles (BEVs).<\/li>\n<li>Aggressive price drop for some semiconductor categories, such<br \/>\nas analog chips, as some suppliers with excess capacity reduce<br \/>\ntheir price to increase their market share and to fill their fab.<br \/>\nAdditionally, new automotive semiconductor suppliers from mainland<br \/>\nChina are challenging both internal and global markets with their<br \/>\nproducts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p >In terms of key semiconductor markets, the rebound in memory<br \/>\nmarkets is expected to be slow, despite the adoption of generative<br \/>\nAI using higher bandwidth memory. However, silicon carbide-based<br \/>\n(SiC-based) semiconductor solutions are expected to see increased<br \/>\nadoption for the inverters and DC-DC converters \u2014 despite<br \/>\ncosting more than silicon IGBT (insulated-gate bipolar transistor).<br \/>\nThis is due to their improved energy transfer efficiency and<br \/>\nlast-mile performance.<\/p>\n<h2 >2025 and beyond: A long-term positive outlook<\/h2>\n<p >There is a positive long-term outlook for the automotive<br \/>\nsemiconductor industry in 2025 and beyond; S&amp;amp;P Global Mobility<br \/>\nforecasts that industry revenues will exceed $130 billion by 2029.<br \/>\nAfter the inventory reset in 2023 and 2024, normalized demand from<br \/>\nOEMs and Tier 1 suppliers is expected to drive the automotive<br \/>\nsemiconductor market forward in 2025.<\/p>\n<p >Electrification is also expected to continue as a pivotal trend<br \/>\nwithin the technology landscape, exerting a significant influence<br \/>\non the dynamics of the automotive semiconductor market with a<br \/>\nturnaround expected for BEVs in 2025.<\/p>\n<p >Most OEMs have further outlined plans to transition towards<br \/>\nsoftware-defined vehicles, prompting concurrent adoption of domain<br \/>\ncontrollers, central computer architectures, and zonal controllers.<br \/>\nAs a result, modern vehicles are increasingly equipped with<br \/>\nforward-looking hardware, such as sensor suites, computing, and<br \/>\ncommunication components, intentionally over-engineered to<br \/>\naccommodate future functionalities via OTA updates. This trend is<br \/>\nexpected to positively impact the demand for high-end<br \/>\nSystem-on-Chips (SoCs) and DRAM and NAND memory chips.<\/p>\n<p >Additionally, there is increasing demand for SiC-based<br \/>\nsemiconductors. As SiC-based technologies evolve and manufacturing<br \/>\nprocesses improve \u2014 resulting in higher price erosion and an<br \/>\nincrease in SiC wafer size from 6&#8243; to 8&#8243; \u2014 their adoption rate<br \/>\nis expected to increase. This will primarily be driven by<br \/>\nlower-segment vehicles that did not previously consider SiC<br \/>\nadoption due to costs.<\/p>\n<p >Mainland China&#39;s push towards self-sufficiency of chips have<br \/>\npositively impacted several regional semiconductor companies.<br \/>\nCompanies such as Horizon Robotics and Black Sesame are anticipated<br \/>\nto expand their presence within the advanced driver assistance<br \/>\nsystem (ADAS) sector with their bespoke semiconductor<br \/>\nsystem-on-chips.<\/p>\n<p >After a soft landing in 2024, S&amp;amp;P Global anticipates a<br \/>\nrobust market rebound in the coming years, supported by several<br \/>\nfactors including electrification, growing consumer preference for<br \/>\nadvanced features and functionalities, and the widespread<br \/>\nimplementation of Over-The-Air (OTA) support resulting in higher<br \/>\nsemiconductor content per vehicle. Moreover, the transition of OEMs<br \/>\ntowards software-defined vehicles presents a strategic advantage<br \/>\nfor the automotive semiconductor industry.<\/p>\n<p ><a class=\"primary-button\" href=\"https:\/\/autotechinsight.ihsmarkit.com\/shop\/product\/5003502\/automotive-semiconductor-market-share-h1-2024\"  rel=\"noopener\">Learn more: Semiconductor Market<br \/>\nShare Tracker<\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Authored by Nimish Ashar, Associate Director, E\/E and<br \/>\nSemiconductor, S&amp;amp;P Global Mobility<\/em><\/p>\n\n<h2><b>Commercials Cooperation Advertisements:<\/b><\/h2>\r\n<p><br>(1) IT Teacher IT Freelance<br> <\/p>\r\n<a href=https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/wordpress><img src=http:\/\/gamefootballmobileanimeiphone.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/ITTeacherITFreelance-Website.png alt=IT\u96fb\u8166\u88dc\u7fd2 java\u88dc\u7fd2 \u70ba\u5927\u5bb6\u914d\u5c0d\u96fb\u8166\u88dc\u7fd2,IT freelance, \u79c1\u4eba\u8001\u5e2b, 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