{"id":161109,"date":"2025-01-31T06:41:28","date_gmt":"2025-01-31T06:41:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/paultan.org\/?p=1877736"},"modified":"2025-01-31T06:41:28","modified_gmt":"2025-01-31T06:41:28","slug":"cimb-securities-revises-up-2025-tiv-forecast-to-760k","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gamefootballmobileanimeiphone.com\/index.php\/2025\/01\/31\/cimb-securities-revises-up-2025-tiv-forecast-to-760k\/","title":{"rendered":"CIMB Securities revises up 2025 TIV forecast to 760k"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"CIMB<\/a><\/p>\n

Previously it foresaw 755,000 units<\/a>; now CIMB Securities has revised its 2025 total industry volume (TIV) forecast slightly upwards to 760,000 units, Bernama<\/em><\/a> reports. For the record, RHB Investment Bank predicts 730,000<\/a>, Maybank Investment Bank Research 750,000<\/a>, the Malaysian Automotive Association 780,000<\/a> and Kenanga Investment Bank 805,000<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Seemingly no mention was made of the postponement of OMV\/402, which could make locally-assembled (CKD) cars more expensive by 10-30%, to January 2026, but CIMB Securities said in today’s research note that its latest forecast is primarily based on potential headwinds like the expected mid-year start of targeted RON 95 petrol subsidies.<\/p>\n

“However, we anticipate resilient demand within the sub-RM100,000 segment, which remains dominated by national brands and select entry-level models from Japanese marques,” it said, adding that said segment made up at least 75% of TIV in 2024, with national brands taking over 80% of the segment, and Japanese and Chinese makes taking the rest, based on its estimations.<\/p>\n

\"CIMB<\/a><\/p>\n

“We expect this demand to remain robust in 2025, supported by first-time car buyers, the December 2024 civil servants’ salary hike, and an accommodative interest rate environment maintained by Bank Negara Malaysia,” it said, adding that it also forecasts a relatively stable overnight policy rate (OPR) in 2025, which would join forces with the government’s plans to retain fuel subsidies for 85% of RON 95 users to maintain affordability in the mass-market segment.<\/p>\n

“As a result, we expect national brands to maintain their dominance, capturing a projected 64.5% market share, compared with 35.5% for non-national brands in 2025,” it said, also mentioning a subdued growth outlook amidst heightening competition from Chinese brands.<\/p>\n

Key catalysts are the strengthening of the ringgit against the US dollar and Japanese yen, a reduction in interest rates and favourable government policies aimed at reviving domestic demand, CIMB Securities said, adding that Sime Darby remains a top sector pick owing to its earnings-accretive acquisition of UMW Holdings, growing exposure to Australia’s mining sector, and potential monetisation of non-core and land bank assets.<\/p>\n

The post CIMB Securities revises up 2025 TIV forecast to 760k<\/a> appeared first on Paul Tan's Automotive News<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n

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Previously it foresaw 755,000 units; now CIMB Securities has revised its 2025 total industry volume (TIV) forecast slightly upwards to 760,000 units, Bernama reports. For the record, RHB Investment Bank predicts 730,000, Maybank Investment Bank [\u2026]<\/p>\n

The post CIMB Securities revises up 2025 TIV forecast to 760k<\/a> appeared first on Paul Tan’s Automotive 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